Analysts Predict Record Decline in Smartphone Shipments by 2026

Analytical firm Counterpoint Research has released a forecast on global smartphone shipments, indicating a significant market contraction in 2026. According to the report, shipments will decline by 13.9% year-over-year, totaling 1.08 billion units. This marks the sharpest drop in recorded history.

The primary factor restraining industry growth is the shortage of memory components. Experts note that the chip supply situation will remain tight until at least the end of 2027. This poses additional risks for manufacturers, who are already grappling with slowing demand amid economic uncertainty and market saturation.

The report emphasizes that the current dynamics may lead key market players to revise their development strategies. Companies may intensify efforts to optimize production chains and seek alternative suppliers to mitigate the crisis's impact. However, a return to previous growth rates is not expected before 2028.